A probability cookbook

Randomness – Probability = Chance

Chance – Randomness = Fate

Fate + God = Predestination

Probability + Epistemology = Types of Randomness

Subjective Probability = Betting + Coherence

Propensity theory = Probability + Animism

Kolmogorov Axioms = Probability – randomness – chance

Probability + Complexity = Cryptography

Chaos + Ignorance = Randomness

Regression: Data = Signal + Noise

Bayesian:
Posterior = Prior [latex] \times [/latex] Likelihood
Prior + Data [latex] \rightarrow [/latex] Probability

Probabilitst:
Probability [latex] \rightarrow [/latex] Frequency

Statistical:
Frequency [latex] \rightarrow [/latex] Probability

Big Data:
Predictive value [latex] \gg [/latex] Model simplicity
High dimensions + Fast computers = De chao ordo

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